Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 15.094580 17.071867 19.284297 21.957271 25.117709 28.758356 33.302647
2025-09-14 11.915268 14.301153 17.183968 20.969003 25.875787 32.118143 40.819582
2025-09-21 9.993600 12.455463 15.580830 19.916791 25.902558 34.071103 46.420714
2025-09-28 8.794576 11.291999 14.589965 19.375280 26.336470 36.423109 52.804414
2025-10-05 8.821863 11.708561 15.693376 21.780656 31.196816 45.862083 71.898187
2025-10-12 8.369192 11.390844 15.706180 22.568868 33.718089 52.140439 87.409394
2025-10-19 7.618178 10.560373 14.868275 21.927139 33.828446 54.412047 96.248539
2025-10-26 7.302672 10.331903 14.893044 22.625380 36.232671 61.066092 115.325985
2025-11-02 6.805763 9.780543 14.357199 22.324231 36.827732 64.468524 128.587576
2025-11-09 6.352390 9.256836 13.812175 21.934291 37.185641 67.446220 141.756614
2025-11-16 5.979010 8.828530 13.380584 21.686193 37.760392 70.950414 157.292069
2025-11-23 5.582794 8.334094 12.796903 21.098712 37.582330 72.804488 169.193766
2025-11-30 5.265304 7.959742 12.408239 20.872270 38.193201 76.753617 189.023627
2025-12-07 4.858868 7.412326 11.682347 19.941675 37.224112 76.895952 197.997802
2025-12-14 4.482496 6.891380 10.964013 18.954091 35.999467 76.194210 204.191554
2025-12-21 4.213669 6.536291 10.513191 18.445412 35.755763 77.900311 219.146747
2025-12-28 4.364756 6.910780 11.399353 20.703179 42.124903 98.456396 312.967224
2026-01-04 4.290187 6.882803 11.540716 21.442078 45.069391 110.561133 383.747494
2026-01-11 4.052270 6.547735 11.077476 20.840532 44.604365 112.458556 410.846204
2026-01-18 3.982645 6.512695 11.185319 21.495038 47.455190 125.502211 502.686096
2026-01-25 3.810208 6.278481 10.887793 21.212795 47.793268 130.485136 556.774179
2026-02-01 3.640747 6.040624 10.567255 20.847238 47.853390 134.574965 609.913778
2026-02-08 3.496776 5.842980 10.314321 20.614596 48.254058 140.041716 677.816905